World News from data (good & bad)
Significant changes vs. 10 days ago in transmission rates, ICU demand, and cases & deaths data.
- Transmission rate:
- โญ Bad news: new waves ๐ฑ๐ธ ๐ธ๐พ ๐ฆ๐บ ๐ฉ๐ฏ ๐ช๐ฌ
- ๐ข Good news: slowing waves ๐ธ๐ด ๐ฒ๐ช ๐ง๐ธ ๐ง๐ผ ๐จ๐ฉ ๐ณ๐ช ๐ฌ๐ผ ๐ฆ๐ท ๐จ๐ณ ๐ธ๐ท ๐ฒ๐ฆ ๐ท๐ด ๐ต๐พ ๐น๐ท ๐ธ๐ณ ๐ฌ๐ณ ๐ฎ๐ธ ๐ต๐ฑ ๐ง๐ฎ ๐ช๐ช ๐ฒ๐ผ ๐ฎ๐ฑ ๐ฐ๐ช ๐ป๐ณ ๐ซ๐ฏ ๐ต๐ฐ ๐ฑ๐น ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ฎ๐ถ ๐ง๐ฉ
- ICU need
- โญ Bad news: higher ICU need ๐ฒ๐ฐ ๐ฌ๐ช ๐ฏ๐ฒ ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ท๐ด ๐ฑ๐ฐ ๐ฒ๐พ ๐ฎ๐ฑ ๐ฎ๐ท ๐ฆ๐ฟ ๐ฒ๐ช ๐ฐ๐ฟ ๐ง๐ฟ ๐ป๐ณ ๐จ๐บ ๐จ๐ญ ๐ฆ๐ฒ ๐น๐ญ ๐ต๐ญ ๐ฑ๐น ๐ฒ๐ฆ ๐น๐น ๐ช๐ช ๐ท๐ธ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฑ๐พ ๐ฏ๐ต ๐ญ๐ณ ๐ฑ๐ธ ๐ฎ๐ช ๐จ๐ฆ ๐บ๐ธ ๐ฉ๐ช ๐ฆ๐ฑ
- ๐ข Good news: lower ICU need ๐น๐ณ ๐ณ๐ฆ ๐จ๐ด ๐ธ๐ท ๐ช๐จ ๐ต๐พ ๐ฟ๐ผ ๐ฆ๐ท ๐ง๐ท ๐ซ๐ท ๐ช๐ธ ๐ฒ๐ฝ ๐ง๐ผ ๐จ๐พ ๐บ๐พ ๐ด๐ฒ ๐ฐ๐ฌ ๐ฎ๐ฉ ๐ง๐ฆ ๐ณ๐ฑ ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ง๐ธ ๐ฐ๐ผ ๐ง๐ด ๐ฒ๐น ๐ท๐บ ๐ฟ๐ฆ ๐ธ๐ป ๐ฆ๐ซ ๐จ๐ฑ ๐ง๐ญ ๐ง๐ฉ ๐ท๐ผ ๐ฒ๐ผ ๐ต๐น ๐ฒ๐ณ ๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐ต๐ฆ ๐ฒ๐ฒ ๐ฎ๐น ๐ฌ๐ท
- New cases and deaths:
- โญ Bad news: new first significant outbreaks
- ๐ข Good news: no new cases or deaths
- Mixed news: no new deaths, only new cases ๐ถ๐ฆ ๐ง๐ฎ ๐ฒ๐ป ๐ง๐ญ ๐ฎ๐ธ ๐จ๐ณ ๐ฌ๐ฆ ๐ธ๐ธ ๐ณ๐ฟ ๐ฌ๐ถ ๐ณ๐ช ๐ฉ๐ฏ ๐ต๐ฌ ๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐น๐ฉ
- No news: continously inactive countries ๐ฑ๐ท
- Deaths burden:
- Appendix:
Transmission rate:
Large increase in transmission rate vs. 10 days ago, that might mean a relapse, new wave, worsening outbreak.
- Countries are sorted by size of change in transmission rate.
- Includes only countries that were previously active (more than 100 estimated new cases).
- "Large increase" = at least +2% change.
Large decrease in transmission rate vs. 10 days ago, that might mean a slowing down / effective control measures.
- Countries are sorted by size of change in transmission rate.
- Includes only countries that were previously active (more than 100 estimated new cases).
- "Large decrease" = at least -2% change.
Large increases in need for ICU beds per 100k population vs. 10 days ago.
- Only countries for which the ICU need increased by more than 0.2 (per 100k).
Large decreases in need for ICU beds per 100k population vs. 10 days ago.
- Only countries for which the ICU need decreased by more than 0.1 (per 100k).
Countries that have started their first significant outbreak (crossed 1000 total reported cases or 20 deaths) vs. 10 days ago.
New countries with no new cases or deaths vs. 10 days ago.
- Only considering countries that had at least 1000 estimated total cases and at least 10 total deaths and had an active outbreak previously.
New countries with no new deaths (only new cases) vs. 10 days ago.
- Only considering countries that had at least 1000 estimated total cases and at least 10 total deaths and had an active outbreak previously.
Countries that had no new cases or deaths 10 days ago or now.
- Only considering countries that had at least 1000 estimated total cases and at least 10 total deaths.
- Caveat:these countries may have stopped reporting data like Tanzania.
Countries with significantly higher recent death burden per 100k population vs. 10 days ago.
- "Significantly higher" = 100% more.
- Only considering countries that had at least 10 recent deaths in both timeframes, and death burden of at least 0.1 per 100k.
Countries with significantly lower recent death burden per 100k population vs. 10 days ago.
- "Significantly lower" = 50% less
- Only considering countries that had at least 10 recent deaths in both timeframes, and death burden of at least 0.1 per 100k.